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BiPSA Global Peak Oil Response Form

Purpose: To develop a Global Best Estimate for the timing of Global Peak Oil in order to leverage the powers that be into a decisive remedial action.

This form is intended for oil-thoughtful people with first hand, or well researched opinion on the question of Global Peak Oil. Please express your opinion on all three scenarios below because the opinions are processed by accounting their level of confidence as expressed in your answers. The way your confidence shifts for these three scenarios is very meaningful for the BiPSA neural network that integrates your opinion.

The methodology and the algorithms that underlie this opinion calculus is explained in BiPSA: From Controversy to Consensus

Instructions: (1) Please review the Peak Oil scenarios below. For each scenario, please click one option per box, voting in the three sections below each scenario. (2) Please fill in the identification section, followed by the qualifications section in this form. (3) When you are done, click on the "Send to BiPSA Processing Center" icon and your vote will be sent and integrated into the summary response. We will email you the integrated opinion report.

You could further your impact on the integrated result. Quickly prove your subject matter insight by accurately voting on related stock movements, and/or by telling us how to rate the relevant disciplines: Go to: The Short-Range Oil Insight Vote (stock picking) and The Discipline-Ranking Vote

Scenario #1:
 World-Wide Oil Production Will Peak by 2010 or earlier

Scenario #2:
 World-Wide Oil Production Will Peak by 2015 or earlier

Scenario #3:
 World-Wide Oil Production Will Peak by 2020 or earlier

Please Vote:

The above described scenario is more likely
TO HAPPEN: ...... NOT TO HAPPEN:

The above described scenario is
HIGHLY LIKELY: ...... HIGHLY UNLIKELY:
NONE OF THE ABOVE:

The above described scenario is
VIRTUALLY CERTAIN: ...... LIKELY:
VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE: ... UNLIKELY:
NONE OF THE ABOVE:

Please Vote:

The above described scenario is more likely
TO HAPPEN: ...... NOT TO HAPPEN:

The above described scenario is
HIGHLY LIKELY: ...... HIGHLY UNLIKELY:
NONE OF THE ABOVE:

The above described scenario is
VIRTUALLY CERTAIN: ...... LIKELY:
VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE: ... UNLIKELY:
NONE OF THE ABOVE:

Please Vote:

The above described scenario is more likely
TO HAPPEN: ...... NOT TO HAPPEN:

The above described scenario is
HIGHLY LIKELY: ...... HIGHLY UNLIKELY:
NONE OF THE ABOVE:

The above described scenario is
VIRTUALLY CERTAIN: ...... LIKELY:
VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE: ... UNLIKELY:
NONE OF THE ABOVE:

Identification: Select: First Name: ..... Last Name:
Your email Please:
Title/Position: ..... Organization:
My Background in:
  • Oil geology is

  • Oil exploration and drilling is

  • Oil products distribution/retail is

  • Oil economics (production/consumption)

  • Oil politics/international relations is
  • Demographics is
  • Natural Sciences (Phys.,Chem.,Biol.) is
  • Chemical Engineering is
  • Mathematical Modeling/Statistics is
    • My Position/Association with...
  • a major oil producing government is or was

  • an oil company is or was

  • an oil-services company is or was

  • a government agency is or was

  • an oil advocacy group is or was

  • a political election campaign is or was

    • .....Comments?

    BiPSA Neural Network Technology is Operated by The BiPSA Co.