Instructions: (1) Express your opinion about the scenario on the left by clicking on the appropriate answers in the three selection options. (2) Please fill in the identification section below, and also describe your relevant qualifications. (3) When you are done, click on the "Send to BiPSA Peak-Oil Processing Center" icon and your vote will be sent and integrated into the summary response. You will receive an electronic acknowledgement of your vote.

Background: The oil producing wells in the United States and other regions of the world have already reached their peak and are now sliding downward. When this happens world-wide, the only way to prevent a global catastrophe is to be ready with viable alternatives. Some of the more attractive alternatives are decades away. Do we have the time? Many competent analysts say no. Others disagree. We can not decide on our best alternative to move forward with, if we don't have a credible estimate for the time frame for global peak oil production. It is therefore necessary to process the spectrum of disagreement, and reduce it to our best estimate todate. To that end The School of Engineering at Case Western Reserve University has commissioned this BiPSA project in which the estimate is extracted via a series of binary questions. By responding to these questions the community of experts generate an integratable field that leads to the desired community wisdom based estimate for peak oil.

The first question in the series is presented here below. If you are an oil-thoughtful person, please contribute your opinion. Your online vote will be acknowledged and will entitle you to the detailed report for you to weigh and evaluate. This edition of the BiPSA Peak-Oil project is our second. In 2005 Case Western students and faculty have carried out the first round, and published the results: "BiPSA: Achieving a Global Consensus on Peak-Oil" Beijing International Renewable Energy Conference 2005 . You can help yourself to a copy of the work and review the BiPSA methodology.